Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did METAL MAX Xeno Reborn sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–19k
$127k–$342k after Steam's cut $231k–$526k before Steam's cut
from 466 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid METAL MAX Xeno Reborn and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including METAL MAX Xeno Reborn's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–10.4M
best case 27.3M (The Forest)
Games like METAL MAX Xeno Reborn

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–10.4M copies

≈ $21k–$158.9M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 42 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 5k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (3 of 8) and Action-Adventure (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.8M–33.7M
106x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
683k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
NieR:Automata™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
24x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut $105.8M–$240.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
154k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Osteoblasts
2021
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before Steam's cut
$7.99
173 reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatAtmospheric
Like a Dragon Gaiden: The Man Who Erased His Name
2023
Est. copies
≈ 316k–514k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.7M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$18.0M before Steam's cut
$49.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionBeat 'em up
Alchemist Adventure
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$55k before Steam's cut
$14.99
129 reviews
Mostly Positive
Action-AdventureMedieval
Monster Hunter: World
2018
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.6M
80x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$129.9M–$349.3M after Steam's cut $236.2M–$537.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
518k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
Percy's Last Stand
2019
Est. copies
≈ 86–140
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3 reviews
3 user reviews
AdventureSexual Content
The Hierophant
2022
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before Steam's cut
$0.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
CasualParty-Based RPG

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.