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How many copies did Osteoblasts sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–7k
$9k–$25k after Steam's cut $17k–$39k before Steam's cut
from 173 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Osteoblasts and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Osteoblasts's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–1.9M
best case 9.3M (Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition)
Games like Osteoblasts

A typical game among these

≈ 1.3M–1.9M copies

≈ $9.7M–$22.3M after Steam's cut

from ~33k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Turn-Based Combat (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition at ≈ 7.1M–11.5M copies, ≈ $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 9k to 19k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Combat (4 of 8) and Story Rich (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tactical RPG + Turn-Based Strategy, priced around $45. The breakout hits carry Tactical RPG + CRPG + Exploration; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Against the Storm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 934k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
206k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tactical RPGRPG
Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut $30.0M–$68.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
48k reviews
Very Positive
Character CustomizationCinematic
Fallout: A Post Nuclear Role Playing Game
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
RPGPost-apocalyptic
Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden
2018
Est. copies
≈ 625k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRPG
Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous - Enhanced Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.3M after Steam's cut $11.0M–$25.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerAction RPG
STAR WARS™ Knights of the Old Republic™ II - The Sith Lords™
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.2M–$18.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
26k reviews
Very Positive
Divinity: Original Sin - Enhanced Edition
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.8M–$47.8M after Steam's cut $32.3M–$73.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
RPGTurn-Based

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.