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How many copies did Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
$16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut $30.0M–$68.3M before Steam's cut
from 48k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 294k–313k
best case 5.7M (Starfield)
Games like Warhammer 40,000: Rogue Trader

A typical game among these

≈ 294k–313k copies

≈ $1.0M–$3.4M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Anime (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Starfield at ≈ 4.4M–7.1M copies, ≈ $59.8M–$160.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 93k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (2 of 8) and Exploration (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Nudity + Mature, priced around $30.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 7 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Mass Effect 2 (2010 Edition)
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Starfield
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$59.8M–$160.9M after Steam's cut $108.8M–$247.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
175k reviews
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SpaceSingleplayer
The Lord of the Rings: Return to Moria™
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SteamSpy 200k–500k
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Open World Survival CraftBase-Building
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2022
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≈ 299k–486k
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Russian Life Simulator
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Est. copies
≈ 241k–392k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$66k–$176k after Steam's cut $119k–$271k before Steam's cut
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SD GUNDAM G GENERATION CROSS RAYS
2019
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≈ 236k–384k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
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Very Positive
MechsTactical RPG

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.