How much revenue did Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden make?

$6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden sell?

Q: How many copies did Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden sell?

625k to 1.0M copies, based on its 21k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 625k–1.0M; $6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.9M before Steam's cut; from 21k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–7.4M

best case 28.0M (Baldur's Gate 3)

Games like Mutant Year Zero: Road to Eden

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–7.4M copies

≈ $17.8M–$67.3M after Steam's cut

from ~88k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Baldur's Gate 3 at ≈ 21.3M–34.6M copies, ≈ $351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the range was 12k to 268k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Turn-Based Combat (5 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Character Customization + Choices Matter, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Dungeons & Dragons + Character Customization + Choices Matter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Darkest Dungeon® 2016	Est. copies ≈ 6.8M–11.0M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut $84.6M–$192.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	163k reviews Very Positive	Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
For The King 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $7.3M–$19.7M after Steam's cut $13.3M–$30.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	44k reviews Very Positive	RPGOnline Co-Op
Baldur's Gate 3 2023	Est. copies ≈ 21.3M–34.6M 9.8x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut $639.2M–$1454.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	859k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGCharacter Customization
Persona 3 Reload 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $26.5M–$71.2M after Steam's cut $48.2M–$109.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	65k reviews Very Positive	JRPGRPG
XCOM® 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4.6M–7.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $25.1M–$67.5M after Steam's cut $45.6M–$103.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	110k reviews Very Positive	IsometricTurn-Based Combat
Persona 4 Golden 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	88k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.5M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	206k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tactical RPGRPG
Volcano Princess 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut	$10.99	49k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Life SimMultiple Endings