How much revenue did XCOM® 2 make?

$25.1M–$67.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did XCOM® 2 sell?

Q: How many copies did XCOM® 2 sell?

4.6M to 7.4M copies, based on its 110k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4.6M–7.4M; $25.1M–$67.5M after Steam's cut $45.6M–$103.8M before Steam's cut; from 110k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid XCOM® 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including XCOM® 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 454k–1.4M

best case 1.4M (Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous - Enhanced Edition)

Games like XCOM® 2

A typical game among these

≈ 454k–1.4M copies

≈ $2.6M–$11.2M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous - Enhanced Edition at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $6.1M–$16.3M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 19k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Post-apocalyptic (6 of 8) and Turn-Based Combat (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action RPG + Third Person, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Fallout 2: A Post Nuclear Role Playing Game 2009	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	18k reviews Very Positive	RPGPost-apocalyptic
Against the Storm 2023	Est. copies ≈ 934k–1.5M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	38k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
Fallout: A Post Nuclear Role Playing Game 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	25k reviews Very Positive	RPGPost-apocalyptic
UnderRail 2015	Est. copies ≈ 354k–576k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Very Positive	RPGPost-apocalyptic
ATOM RPG: Post-apocalyptic indie game 2018	Est. copies ≈ 321k–522k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	11k reviews Very Positive	CRPGExploration
Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous - Enhanced Edition 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.1M–$16.3M after Steam's cut $11.0M–$25.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	44k reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerAction RPG
Wasteland 3 2020	Est. copies ≈ 557k–904k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $6.1M–$16.5M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	22k reviews Very Positive	CRPGCharacter Customization
ATOM RPG Trudograd 2021	Est. copies ≈ 110k–179k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $334k–$897k after Steam's cut $607k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$10.99	4k reviews Very Positive	CRPGOpen World