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wishvane

How many copies did Baldur's Gate 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 20.4M–33.1M
$335.8M–$902.8M after Steam's cut $610.5M–$1388.9M before the cut
from 848k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Baldur's Gate 3 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Baldur's Gate 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 20.2M–34.0M
best case 36.0M (ELDEN RING)
The Open World genre

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 20.2M–34.0M copies
≈ $229.2M–$652.3M after Steam's cut
from ~476k reviews
Best case
≈ 27.5M–44.6M copies
ELDEN RING · ≈ $453.0M–$1218.0M after Steam's cut
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (6 of 8) and Third Person (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Open World, priced around $60.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, a genre with a long track record.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Fallout 4
2015
Est. copies
≈ 19.8M–32.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$108.8M–$292.6M after Steam's cut $197.9M–$450.2M before the cut
$19.99
427k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldPost-apocalyptic
ELDEN RING
2022
Est. copies
≈ 27.5M–44.6M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$453.0M–$1218.0M after Steam's cut $823.7M–$1873.9M before the cut
$59.99
1.1M reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeOpen World
Cyberpunk 2077
2020
Est. copies
≈ 25.4M–41.2M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$418.4M–$1125.0M after Steam's cut $760.8M–$1730.7M before the cut
$59.99
961k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkOpen World
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 14.8M–24.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$163.2M–$438.9M after Steam's cut $296.8M–$675.2M before the cut
$39.99
371k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
DARK SOULS™ III
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.5M–28.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$288.9M–$776.8M after Steam's cut $525.3M–$1195.1M before the cut
$59.99
438k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Warframe
2013
Est. copies
≈ 34.9M–56.7M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
671k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction RPG
Monster Hunter: World
2018
Est. copies
≈ 15.6M–25.4M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$128.7M–$346.1M after Steam's cut $234.1M–$532.5M before the cut
$29.99
513k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opMultiplayer
7 Days to Die
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9.7M–15.7M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$119.8M–$322.1M after Steam's cut $217.8M–$495.5M before the cut
$44.99
403k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies

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