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How many copies did 7 Days to Die sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9.9M–16.2M
$123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut
from 401k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 7 Days to Die and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 7 Days to Die's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 16.7M–40.2M
best case 88.0M (Left 4 Dead 2)
Games like 7 Days to Die

A typical game among these

≈ 16.7M–40.2M copies

≈ $126.6M–$350.9M after Steam's cut

from ~490k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Left 4 Dead 2 at ≈ 67.0M–108.9M copies, ≈ $184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Zombies (6 of 8) and Open World (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Co-op, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Project Zomboid
2013
Est. copies
≈ 30.5M–49.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut $381.6M–$868.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
483k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
Wallpaper Engine
2018
Est. copies
≈ 31.0M–50.3M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MatureUtilities
Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 67.0M–108.9M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut $334.7M–$761.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
Resident Evil 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$70.9M–$190.7M after Steam's cut $129.0M–$293.4M before Steam's cut
$39.99
224k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
Unturned
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.6M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
565k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySurvival
Dying Light
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24.2M–39.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut $302.5M–$688.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
496k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
Hunt: Showdown 1896
2019
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$66.3M–$178.3M after Steam's cut $120.6M–$274.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
279k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldExtraction Shooter
DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.3M–23.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
470k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World

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