How much revenue did Volcano Princess make?

$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Volcano Princess sell?

Q: How many copies did Volcano Princess sell?

1.2M to 2.0M copies, based on its 49k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.2M–2.0M; $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut; from 49k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Volcano Princess and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Volcano Princess's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 447k–495k

best case 1.1M (Sultan's Game)

Games like Volcano Princess

A typical game among these

≈ 447k–495k copies

≈ $1.4M–$3.6M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sultan's Game at ≈ 876k–1.4M copies, ≈ $6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 17k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Tabletop, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Tabletop + Card Game + Time Management; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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