How much revenue did Persona 4 Golden make?

$12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Persona 4 Golden sell?

Q: How many copies did Persona 4 Golden sell?

2.2M to 3.5M copies, based on its 88k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2.2M–3.5M; $12.0M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before Steam's cut; from 88k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Persona 4 Golden and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Persona 4 Golden's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.1M–7.5M

best case 27.3M (The Forest)

Games like Persona 4 Golden

A typical game among these

≈ 3.1M–7.5M copies

≈ $35.5M–$141.5M after Steam's cut

from ~115k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 92k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Story Rich (7 of 8) and Open World (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Persona 5 Royal 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $57.7M–$155.1M after Steam's cut $104.9M–$238.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	141k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	JRPG Story Rich
NieR:Automata™ 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5.3M–8.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut $105.8M–$240.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	154k reviews Very Positive	Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 2025	Est. copies ≈ 6.9M–11.3M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $95.2M–$256.1M after Steam's cut $173.2M–$394.0M before Steam's cut	$49.99	279k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Turn-Based CombatStory Rich
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 5.9x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
DRAGON BALL Z: KAKAROT 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.0M–$21.4M after Steam's cut $14.5M–$32.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	58k reviews Very Positive	ActionRPG
FINAL FANTASY XIV Online 2014	Est. copies ≈ 4.8M–7.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $26.4M–$71.0M after Steam's cut $48.0M–$109.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	86k reviews Very Positive	MMORPGRPG
OMORI 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Story Rich
Yakuza 0 2018	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	78k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichAction