How much revenue did Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 make?

$95.2M–$256.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 sell?

Q: How many copies did Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 sell?

6.9M to 11.3M copies, based on its 279k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 6.9M–11.3M; $95.2M–$256.1M after Steam's cut $173.2M–$394.0M before Steam's cut; from 279k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Clair Obscur: Expedition 33's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–1.6M

best case 28.0M (Baldur's Gate 3)

Games like Clair Obscur: Expedition 33

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–1.6M copies

≈ $11.2M–$22.3M after Steam's cut

from ~44k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Baldur's Gate 3 at ≈ 21.3M–34.6M copies, ≈ $351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 9k to 268k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Turn-Based Combat (6 of 8) and Story Rich (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Character Customization + Choices Matter, priced around $45. The breakout hits carry Character Customization + CRPG + Fantasy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Baldur's Gate 3 2023	Est. copies ≈ 21.3M–34.6M 20x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut $639.2M–$1454.1M before Steam's cut	$59.99	859k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGCharacter Customization
For The King 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $7.3M–$19.7M after Steam's cut $13.3M–$30.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	44k reviews Very Positive	RPGOnline Co-Op
Pathfinder: Wrath of the Righteous - Enhanced Edition 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.1M–$16.3M after Steam's cut $11.0M–$25.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	44k reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerAction RPG
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.1M–11.5M 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	206k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Tactical RPGRPG
Temtem 2022	Est. copies ≈ 975k–1.6M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before Steam's cut	$44.99	39k reviews Very Positive	Co-opMultiplayer
Darkest Dungeon® 2016	Est. copies ≈ 6.8M–11.0M 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut $84.6M–$192.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	163k reviews Very Positive	Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
Metaphor: ReFantazio 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $20.7M–$55.7M after Steam's cut $37.7M–$85.7M before Steam's cut	$69.99	43k reviews Very Positive	RPGJRPG
Volcano Princess 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–2.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.3M before Steam's cut	$10.99	49k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Life SimMultiple Endings