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wishvane

How many copies did Metaphor: ReFantazio sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
$19.4M–$52.2M after Steam's cut $35.3M–$80.3M before the cut
from 42k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Metaphor: ReFantazio out and predicted the genre from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Metaphor: ReFantazio's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.7M–5.3M
best case 8.6M (Clair Obscur: Expedition 33)

All 4 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 2.7M–5.3M copies
≈ $38.5M–$115.4M after Steam's cut
from ~111k reviews
Best case
≈ 6.6M–10.6M copies
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 · ≈ $90.1M–$242.2M after Steam's cut
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on JRPG (4 of 4) and Story Rich (4 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Combat + Story Rich, priced around $50.
The era
2 of your 4 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this niche is actively shipping.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Persona 3 Reload
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$23.6M–$63.6M after Steam's cut $43.0M–$97.8M before the cut
$59.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGRPG
Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.5M–$33.6M after Steam's cut $22.7M–$51.7M before the cut
$19.99
86k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Persona 5 Royal
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$53.4M–$143.6M after Steam's cut $97.1M–$221.0M before the cut
$59.99
135k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Clair Obscur: Expedition 33
2025
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.6M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$90.1M–$242.2M after Steam's cut $163.8M–$372.6M before the cut
$49.99
273k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Turn-Based CombatStory Rich

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.