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How many copies did Temtem sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 975k–1.6M
$12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before Steam's cut
from 39k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Temtem and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Temtem's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 402k–1.3M
best case 16.0M (Palworld)
Games like Temtem

A typical game among these

≈ 402k–1.3M copies

≈ $3.0M–$8.5M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Co-op (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Palworld at ≈ 12.2M–19.8M copies, ≈ $100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 972 to 469k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (4 of 8) and Creature Collector (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Survival, priced around $30.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Necesse
2025
Est. copies
≈ 727k–1.2M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftMultiplayer
Palworld
2026
Est. copies
≈ 12.2M–19.8M
38x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut $182.7M–$415.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
491k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSurvival
Luma Island
2024
Est. copies
≈ 316k–514k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureFarming Sim
Digimon Masters Online
2016
Est. copies
≈ 338k–550k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayAnime
WILD HEARTS™
2023
Est. copies
≈ 324k–527k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.8M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.8M before Steam's cut
$69.99
13k reviews
Mixed
ActionRPG
Let's Build a Zoo
2021
Est. copies
≈ 102k–166k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$563k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationPixel Graphics
WEBFISHING
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$9.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
70k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FishingMultiplayer
Cassette Beasts
2023
Est. copies
≈ 277k–450k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
ControllerComedy

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.