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How many copies did Like a Dragon Gaiden: The Man Who Erased His Name sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 316k–514k
$4.3M–$11.7M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$18.0M before Steam's cut
from 13k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Like a Dragon Gaiden: The Man Who Erased His Name and predicted how it would do from its 6 similar games. Every figure here, including Like a Dragon Gaiden: The Man Who Erased His Name's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 31.8M–52.1M
best case 39.5M (Black Myth: Wukong)
Games like Like a Dragon Gaiden: The Man Who Erased His Name

A typical game among these

≈ 31.8M–52.1M copies

≈ $558.3M–$915.2M after Steam's cut

from ~788k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 6 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Open World (3 of 6), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Black Myth: Wukong at ≈ 30.1M–48.9M copies, ≈ $496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (3 of 6) and Story Rich (3 of 6).
The winners
Winners here lead with Mythology + Action RPG, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 6 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Black Myth: Wukong
2024
Est. copies
≈ 30.1M–48.9M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut $902.2M–$2052.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
1.2M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MythologyAction RPG
Warframe
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.9M–69.7M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
678k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayAction RPG
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43.8M–71.2M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut $1095.5M–$2492.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
898k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Dying Light
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24.2M–39.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut $302.5M–$688.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
496k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
Cyberpunk 2077
2020
Est. copies
≈ 24.4M–39.6M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$402.0M–$1080.8M after Steam's cut $730.9M–$1662.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
983k reviews
Very Positive
CyberpunkOpen World
DARK SOULS™ III
2016
Est. copies
≈ 18.3M–29.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$302.7M–$813.9M after Steam's cut $550.4M–$1252.2M before Steam's cut
$59.99
441k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.