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How many copies did Black Myth: Wukong sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 30.1M–48.9M
$496.2M–$1334.2M after Steam's cut $902.2M–$2052.5M before Steam's cut
from 1.2M reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Black Myth: Wukong and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Black Myth: Wukong's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.7M–7.4M
best case 10.1M (Hades)
Games like Black Myth: Wukong

A typical game among these

≈ 2.7M–7.4M copies

≈ $22.6M–$102.2M after Steam's cut

from ~154k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hades at ≈ 7.7M–12.5M copies, ≈ $52.9M–$142.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 42k reviews in their first month; the range was 17k to 208k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Mythology (5 of 8) and Hack and Slash (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-lite, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Titan Quest Anniversary Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$8.7M–$23.4M after Steam's cut $15.8M–$35.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
RPGHack and Slash
Hades
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7.7M–12.5M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$52.9M–$142.2M after Steam's cut $96.1M–$218.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
310k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Hades II
2025
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$68.0M after Steam's cut $46.0M–$104.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
124k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionRogue-like
Noita
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PhysicsRogue-like
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.6M–$82.4M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
225k reviews
Mixed
ManagementSingleplayer
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$94.8M–$254.9M after Steam's cut $172.4M–$392.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
189k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
God of War
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$63.1M–$169.6M after Steam's cut $114.7M–$260.9M before Steam's cut
$49.99
185k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionSingleplayer
Gujian3(古剑奇谭三)
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
49k reviews
Very Positive

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