How much revenue did Gujian3(古剑奇谭三) make?

$12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Gujian3(古剑奇谭三) sell?

Q: How many copies did Gujian3(古剑奇谭三) sell?

1.5M to 2.4M copies, based on its 49k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.5M–2.4M; $12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut; from 49k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Gujian3(古剑奇谭三) and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Gujian3(古剑奇谭三)'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 777k–1.1M

best case 1.5M (Wandering Sword)

Games like Gujian3(古剑奇谭三)

A typical game among these

≈ 777k–1.1M copies

≈ $7.5M–$17.8M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Wandering Sword at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 15k reviews in their first month; the range was 8k to 28k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Martial Arts (6 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Martial Arts + Turn-Based, priced around $25.
When they shipped: Only 2 of the 7 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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觅长生 2023	Est. copies ≈ 797k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	32k reviews Very Positive	RPGOpen World
暖雪 Warm Snow 2022	Est. copies ≈ 971k–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut	$17.99	39k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Wandering Sword 2023	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	46k reviews Very Positive	RPGMartial Arts
DYNASTY WARRIORS: ORIGINS 2025	Est. copies ≈ 751k–1.2M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $14.5M–$38.9M after Steam's cut $26.3M–$59.8M before Steam's cut	$69.99	30k reviews Very Positive	Hack and SlashSpectacle fighter
Sands of Salzaar 2021	Est. copies ≈ 571k–929k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	23k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
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Path Of Wuxia 2022	Est. copies ≈ 754k–1.2M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $7.3M–$19.5M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.0M before Steam's cut	$34.99	30k reviews Mostly Positive	RPGIndie