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How many copies did Sleeping Dogs sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 428k–696k
from 17k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sleeping Dogs and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sleeping Dogs's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–2.5M
best case 9.9M (NARAKA: BLADEPOINT)
Games like Sleeping Dogs

A typical game among these

≈ 1.0M–2.5M copies

≈ $9.8M–$42.8M after Steam's cut

from ~49k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: NARAKA: BLADEPOINT at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 19k reviews in their first month; the range was 8k to 48k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Martial Arts (5 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Battle Royale + Martial Arts. The breakout hits carry Battle Royale + Mature + Character Customization; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

NARAKA: BLADEPOINT
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Street Fighter™ 6
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.8M–$58.7M after Steam's cut $39.7M–$90.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
80k reviews
Very Positive
2D FighterFighting
DRAGON BALL: Sparking! ZERO
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$66.8M after Steam's cut $45.2M–$102.8M before Steam's cut
$49.99
73k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeAction
Sleeping Dogs: Definitive Edition
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.3M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.6M–$66.2M after Steam's cut $44.7M–$101.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
80k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
Sword and Fairy 7
2021
Est. copies
≈ 477k–775k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.9M–$10.6M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGSingleplayer
Gujian3(古剑奇谭三)
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.3M–$33.0M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
Sands of Salzaar
2021
Est. copies
≈ 571k–929k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
23k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldRPG
嗜血印 Bloody Spell
2022
Est. copies
≈ 976k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut $12.2M–$27.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
NuditySexual Content

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