How much revenue did Hades II make?

$25.3M–$68.0M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Hades II sell?

Q: How many copies did Hades II sell?

3.1M to 5.0M copies, based on its 124k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3.1M–5.0M; $25.3M–$68.0M after Steam's cut $46.0M–$104.6M before Steam's cut; from 124k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hades II and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Hades II's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.0M–21.2M

best case 33.8M (The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth)

Games like Hades II

A typical game among these

≈ 7.0M–21.2M copies

≈ $28.9M–$118.4M after Steam's cut

from ~267k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth at ≈ 25.8M–41.9M copies, ≈ $106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (2 of 3) and Bullet Hell (1 of 3).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-like, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Vampire Survivors 2022	Est. copies ≈ 6.6M–10.7M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.5M before Steam's cut	$4.99	267k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth 2014	Est. copies ≈ 25.8M–41.9M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut $193.0M–$439.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	460k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-like
DAVE THE DIVER 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	163k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsCasual