How much revenue did Noita make?

$12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Noita sell?

Q: How many copies did Noita sell?

2.2M to 3.6M copies, based on its 89k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2.2M–3.6M; $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.2M before Steam's cut; from 89k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Noita and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Noita's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k

best case 896k (Exanima)

Games like Noita

A typical game among these

≈ 2k copies

≈ $7k–$16k after Steam's cut

from ~67 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Exanima at ≈ 683k–1.1M copies, ≈ $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 51 reviews in their first month; the range was 9 to 503.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Dungeon Crawler (8 of 8) and Rogue-like (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Dungeon Crawler, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Difficult + Physics + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Galactic Glitch 2025	Est. copies ≈ 25k–40k 15x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $88k–$236k after Steam's cut $159k–$362k before Steam's cut	$12.99	989 reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeTwin Stick Shooter
Oneiro 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut	$4.99	50 reviews Very Positive	Dungeon CrawlerPerma Death
Cursed to Golf 2022	Est. copies ≈ 20k–33k 12x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $110k–$296k after Steam's cut $200k–$456k before Steam's cut	$19.99	808 reviews Mostly Positive	Rogue-likeDifficult
Soul Scathe 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $8k–$22k after Steam's cut $15k–$33k before Steam's cut	$19.99	59 reviews Mostly Positive	ActionRPG
Roundguard 2020	Est. copies ≈ 14k–23k 8.6x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $79k–$212k after Steam's cut $143k–$326k before Steam's cut	$19.99	578 reviews Very Positive	PinballPhysics
Gone Viral 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $10k–$27k after Steam's cut $19k–$42k before Steam's cut	$19.99	75 reviews Mostly Positive	Rogue-liteAction
The Pinball Wizard 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$17k before Steam's cut	$7.99	76 reviews Mostly Positive	Dungeon CrawlerPinball
Exanima 2015	Est. copies ≈ 683k–1.1M 209x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	14k reviews Mostly Positive	PhysicsRPG