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How many copies did The Pinball Wizard sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $8k–$17k before Steam's cut
from 76 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Pinball Wizard and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Pinball Wizard's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.3M–5.1M
best case 33.8M (The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth)
Games like The Pinball Wizard

A typical game among these

≈ 2.3M–5.1M copies

≈ $9.9M–$42.1M after Steam's cut

from ~76k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth at ≈ 25.8M–41.9M copies, ≈ $106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-like (8 of 8) and Dungeon Crawler (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-like, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Replay Value + Great Soundtrack + Indie; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Wizard of Legend
2018
Est. copies
≈ 641k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$15.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikePixel Graphics
Hades II
2025
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.0M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$68.0M after Steam's cut $46.0M–$104.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
124k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionRogue-like
The Binding of Isaac
2011
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut
$4.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Roundguard
2020
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$79k–$212k after Steam's cut $143k–$326k before Steam's cut
$19.99
578 reviews
Very Positive
PinballPhysics
Darkest Dungeon®
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.8M–11.0M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut $84.6M–$192.5M before Steam's cut
$24.99
163k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
Crypt of the NecroDancer
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmFemale Protagonist
Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
The Binding of Isaac: Rebirth
2014
Est. copies
≈ 25.8M–41.9M
6.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$106.2M–$285.5M after Steam's cut $193.0M–$439.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
460k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like

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