How much revenue did Roundguard make?

$79k–$212k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Roundguard sell?

Q: How many copies did Roundguard sell?

14k to 23k copies, based on its 578 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 14k–23k; $79k–$212k after Steam's cut $143k–$326k before Steam's cut; from 578 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Roundguard and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Roundguard's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–4k

best case 1.2M (Peggle Deluxe)

Games like Roundguard

A typical game among these

≈ 3k–4k copies

≈ $2k–$5k after Steam's cut

from ~69 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Peggle Deluxe at ≈ 921k–1.5M copies, ≈ $1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Physics (7 of 8) and Puzzle (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle + Physics, priced around $10.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Peggle Deluxe 2007	Est. copies ≈ 921k–1.5M 211x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut	$4.99	15k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CasualPuzzle
Deep Under the Sky 2014	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $9k–$24k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before Steam's cut	$9.99	59 reviews Mixed	ArcadePhysics
Rollers of the Realm 2014	Est. copies ≈ 40k–65k 10x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $109k–$294k after Steam's cut $199k–$452k before Steam's cut	$9.99	711 reviews Very Positive	PinballRPG
Mini Tone - Minimalist Puzzle 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$1.99	69 reviews Mixed	PuzzlePool
Super High Ball: Pinball Platformer 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut	$9.99	43 reviews Positive	Precision Platformer Platformer
ANOIX 2018	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $787–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$0.99	95 reviews Mostly Positive	PinballPhysics
Oik 5 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $2k–$6k before Steam's cut	$0.99	171 reviews Very Positive	IndieCasual
Pinball Spire 2024	Est. copies ≈ 15k–24k 8.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $61k–$164k after Steam's cut $111k–$252k before Steam's cut	$14.99	596 reviews Very Positive	PinballExploration