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How many copies did Deep Under the Sky sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $17k–$38k before Steam's cut
from 59 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Deep Under the Sky and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Deep Under the Sky's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 134k–651k
best case 902k (Tricky Towers)
Games like Deep Under the Sky

A typical game among these

≈ 134k–651k copies

≈ $363k–$1.4M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Tricky Towers at ≈ 687k–1.1M copies, ≈ $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (6 of 8) and Physics (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Party Game + Puzzle, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2018, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 38 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Zuma Deluxe
2006
Est. copies
≈ 433k–703k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$594k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Match 3Puzzle
Airscape - The Fall of Gravity
2015
Est. copies
≈ 130k–210k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$178k–$478k after Steam's cut $323k–$735k before Steam's cut
$4.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Shoot 'Em UpExploration
Peggle Deluxe
2007
Est. copies
≈ 921k–1.5M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.4M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
$4.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualPuzzle
Marble It Up! Ultra
2018
Est. copies
≈ 35k–56k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$286k–$768k after Steam's cut $519k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerFast-Paced
Tricky Towers
2016
Est. copies
≈ 687k–1.1M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
Zup!
2016
Est. copies
≈ 371k–603k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$203k–$546k after Steam's cut $370k–$841k before Steam's cut
$1.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleCasual
The Basement Collection
2012
Est. copies
≈ 106k–172k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$116k–$312k after Steam's cut $211k–$480k before Steam's cut
$3.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
IndieAdventure
Osmos
2009
Est. copies
≈ 91k–148k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$251k–$675k after Steam's cut $456k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
IndieCasual

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.