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How many copies did Alchemist Adventure sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$55k before Steam's cut
from 129 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Alchemist Adventure and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Alchemist Adventure's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–2.6M
best case 6.4M (Kingdom Come: Deliverance II)
Games like Alchemist Adventure

A typical game among these

≈ 1.7M–2.6M copies

≈ $15.6M–$40.4M after Steam's cut

from ~36k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Kingdom Come: Deliverance II at ≈ 4.9M–7.9M copies, ≈ $80.4M–$216.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 46k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 82k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Third Person (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Medieval + Open World, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Kingdom Come: Deliverance II
2025
Est. copies
≈ 4.9M–7.9M
5.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$80.4M–$216.0M after Steam's cut $146.1M–$332.4M before Steam's cut
$59.99
196k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMedieval
Lords of the Fallen
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.6M–$31.1M after Steam's cut $21.0M–$47.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
57k reviews
Mixed
Souls-likeExploration
Assassin's Creed® Revelations
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.2M–$19.5M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$30.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
Assassin's Creed™: Director's Cut Edition
2008
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
ActionCombat
Assassin’s Creed® Brotherhood
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.3M–$25.0M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
GreedFall
2019
Est. copies
≈ 636k–1.0M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.3M before Steam's cut
$34.99
22k reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGOpen World
Dragon's Dogma 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$32.1M–$86.3M after Steam's cut $58.3M–$132.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
118k reviews
Mixed
Open WorldRPG
Assassin's Creed Valhalla
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$18.5M–$49.8M after Steam's cut $33.7M–$76.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
45k reviews
Mixed
Open WorldAction

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