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How many copies did Lords of the Fallen sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
$11.6M–$31.1M after Steam's cut $21.0M–$47.8M before Steam's cut
from 57k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lords of the Fallen and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lords of the Fallen's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 716k–2.9M
best case 6.0M (God of War)
Games like Lords of the Fallen

A typical game among these

≈ 716k–2.9M copies

≈ $14.2M–$74.1M after Steam's cut

from ~65k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: God of War at ≈ 4.6M–7.5M copies, ≈ $63.1M–$169.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 20k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 36k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action-Adventure (5 of 8) and Open World (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Mythology, priced around $50.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$19.7M–$52.9M after Steam's cut $35.7M–$81.3M before Steam's cut
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48k reviews
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ActionSuperhero
Death's Door
2021
Est. copies
≈ 552k–897k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.6M before Steam's cut
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CuteSouls-like
STAR WARS Jedi: Survivor™
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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87k reviews
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Ghostwire: Tokyo
2022
Est. copies
≈ 526k–855k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.8M–$35.9M before Steam's cut
$59.99
21k reviews
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SingleplayerSupernatural
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2022
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.5M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$63.1M–$169.6M after Steam's cut $114.7M–$260.9M before Steam's cut
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185k reviews
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Est. copies
≈ 437k–711k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut
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Ghost of Tsushima DIRECTOR'S CUT
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$39.8M–$106.9M after Steam's cut $72.3M–$164.5M before Steam's cut
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No Rest for the Wicked
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.4M–$60.3M after Steam's cut $40.8M–$92.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
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