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How many copies did No Rest for the Wicked sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2.0M–3.3M
$22.4M–$60.3M after Steam's cut $40.8M–$92.8M before Steam's cut
from 82k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid No Rest for the Wicked and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including No Rest for the Wicked's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 208k–1.2M
best case 2.8M (STAR WARS Jedi: Survivor™)
Games like No Rest for the Wicked

A typical game among these

≈ 208k–1.2M copies

≈ $1.9M–$11.5M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is First-Person (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: STAR WARS Jedi: Survivor™ at ≈ 2.1M–3.5M copies, ≈ $41.3M–$111.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 27k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (4 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Third Person, priced around $70.
When they shipped
Only 1 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

STAR WARS Jedi: Survivor™
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$41.3M–$111.2M after Steam's cut $75.2M–$171.0M before Steam's cut
$69.99
87k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionAdventure
Stoneshard
2020
Est. copies
≈ 886k–1.4M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
36k reviews
Mostly Positive
Death Trash
2021
Est. copies
≈ 92k–150k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$508k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $924k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessPost-apocalyptic
Bright Memory
2020
Est. copies
≈ 821k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before Steam's cut
$7.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
Female ProtagonistFPS
Lunacid
2023
Est. copies
≈ 287k–467k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
$13.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Dungeon CrawlerDark Fantasy
嗜血印 Bloody Spell
2022
Est. copies
≈ 976k–1.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut $12.2M–$27.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
NuditySexual Content
Dread Delusion
2024
Est. copies
≈ 132k–214k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$724k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RPGOpen World
Blood West
2023
Est. copies
≈ 167k–272k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
FPSOpen World

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