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How many copies did Death Trash sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 92k–150k
$508k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $924k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Death Trash and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Death Trash's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 155k–810k
best case 1.6M (Fallout: A Post Nuclear Role Playing Game)
Games like Death Trash

A typical game among these

≈ 155k–810k copies

≈ $1.8M–$5.8M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Fallout: A Post Nuclear Role Playing Game at ≈ 1.2M–2.0M copies, ≈ $3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Post-apocalyptic (8 of 8) and CRPG (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Post-apocalyptic + Classic, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ATOM RPG Trudograd
2021
Est. copies
≈ 110k–179k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$334k–$897k after Steam's cut $607k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$10.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGOpen World
UnderRail
2015
Est. copies
≈ 354k–576k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.0M before Steam's cut
$14.99
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RPGPost-apocalyptic
Surviving the Aftermath
2021
Est. copies
≈ 115k–187k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$950k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
5k reviews
Mixed
StrategySimulation
ATOM RPG: Post-apocalyptic indie game
2018
Est. copies
≈ 321k–522k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGExploration
Encased: A Sci-Fi Post-Apocalyptic RPG
2021
Est. copies
≈ 119k–194k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$985k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
CRPGTurn-Based Combat
Fallout 2: A Post Nuclear Role Playing Game
2009
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
RPGPost-apocalyptic
Wasteland 2: Director's Cut
2014
Est. copies
≈ 454k–738k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
RPGPost-apocalyptic
Fallout: A Post Nuclear Role Playing Game
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
RPGPost-apocalyptic

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