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How many copies did Surviving the Aftermath sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 115k–187k
$950k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Surviving the Aftermath and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Surviving the Aftermath's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 314k–1.0M
best case 5.5M (Frostpunk)
Games like Surviving the Aftermath

A typical game among these

≈ 314k–1.0M copies

≈ $3.2M–$16.2M after Steam's cut

from ~18k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Frostpunk at ≈ 4.2M–6.8M copies, ≈ $34.5M–$92.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 38k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share City Builder (8 of 8) and Colony Sim (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with City Builder + Survival, priced around $30.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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7.5x vs typical
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City BuilderVoxel

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.