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How many copies did Blood West sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 167k–272k
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before Steam's cut
from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Blood West and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Blood West's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–16.1M
best case 34.9M (Red Dead Redemption 2)
Games like Blood West

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–16.1M copies

≈ $10.0M–$103.1M after Steam's cut

from ~69k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 7 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Red Dead Redemption 2 at ≈ 26.6M–43.2M copies, ≈ $438.4M–$1178.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Western (6 of 7) and Open World (5 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Story Rich, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Red Dead Redemption 2
2019
Est. copies
≈ 26.6M–43.2M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$438.4M–$1178.6M after Steam's cut $797.0M–$1813.3M before Steam's cut
$59.99
923k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldStory Rich
Call of Juarez: Bound in Blood
2009
Est. copies
≈ 324k–526k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$889k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
WesternAction
12 is Better Than 6
2015
Est. copies
≈ 504k–820k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
ActionShooter
Red Dead Online
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$9.5M–$25.5M after Steam's cut $17.2M–$39.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
69k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldMultiplayer
Call of Juarez: Gunslinger
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$11.6M–$31.1M after Steam's cut $21.0M–$47.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
44k reviews
Very Positive
WesternFPS
Fallout: New Vegas
2010
Est. copies
≈ 16.6M–26.9M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
262k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
Hunt: Showdown 1896
2019
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$66.3M–$178.3M after Steam's cut $120.6M–$274.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
279k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldExtraction Shooter

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