How much revenue did Red Dead Online make?

$9.5M–$25.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Red Dead Online sell?

Q: How many copies did Red Dead Online sell?

1.7M to 2.8M copies, based on its 69k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.7M–2.8M; $9.5M–$25.5M after Steam's cut $17.2M–$39.2M before Steam's cut; from 69k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Red Dead Online and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Red Dead Online's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12.6M–25.0M

best case 34.9M (Red Dead Redemption 2)

Games like Red Dead Online

A typical game among these

≈ 12.6M–25.0M copies

≈ $85.6M–$284.9M after Steam's cut

from ~224k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Red Dead Redemption 2 at ≈ 26.6M–43.2M copies, ≈ $438.4M–$1178.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (7 of 8) and Western (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Story Rich, priced around $60.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Depraved 2019	Est. copies ≈ 36k–59k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $199k–$534k after Steam's cut $361k–$821k before Steam's cut	$19.99	1k reviews Mixed	City Builder Colony Sim
Kingdom Come: Deliverance 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.7M–9.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.7M–$125.6M after Steam's cut $84.9M–$193.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	186k reviews Very Positive	MedievalRPG
GUN™ 2006	Est. copies ≈ 144k–234k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $791k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	WesternAction
Fallout: New Vegas 2010	Est. copies ≈ 16.6M–26.9M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $45.5M–$122.3M after Steam's cut $82.7M–$188.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	262k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open WorldRPG
Red Dead Redemption 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 26.6M–43.2M 4.1x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $438.4M–$1178.6M after Steam's cut $797.0M–$1813.3M before Steam's cut	$59.99	923k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldStory Rich
Unbridled: That Horse Game 2025	Est. copies ≈ 14k–22k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $93k–$250k after Steam's cut $169k–$384k before Steam's cut	$24.99	545 reviews Very Positive	Early AccessHorses
Mount & Blade: Warband 2010	Est. copies ≈ 10.9M–17.7M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $59.8M–$160.9M after Steam's cut $108.8M–$247.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	172k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MedievalRPG
Wild Indigo Ranch 2024	Est. copies ≈ 12k–19k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $64k–$171k after Steam's cut $116k–$263k before Steam's cut	$19.99	467 reviews Mostly Positive	WesternBuilding