How much revenue did Ghostwire: Tokyo make?

$8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Ghostwire: Tokyo sell?

Q: How many copies did Ghostwire: Tokyo sell?

526k to 855k copies, based on its 21k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 526k–855k; $8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.8M–$35.9M before Steam's cut; from 21k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ghostwire: Tokyo and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ghostwire: Tokyo's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 528k–923k

best case 3.7M (Dishonored 2)

Games like Ghostwire: Tokyo

A typical game among these

≈ 528k–923k copies

≈ $4.7M–$7.3M after Steam's cut

from ~17k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Dishonored 2 at ≈ 2.8M–4.5M copies, ≈ $23.0M–$61.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 8k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (6 of 8) and First-Person (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich, priced around $35. The breakout hits carry Story Rich + Action + Assassin; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Dishonored 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.5M 4.1x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $23.0M–$61.8M after Steam's cut $41.8M–$95.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	67k reviews Very Positive	StealthFirst-Person
Chernobylite Complete Edition 2021	Est. copies ≈ 388k–630k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	16k reviews Very Positive	Post-apocalypticSurvival
Choo-Choo Charles 2022	Est. copies ≈ 446k–726k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	18k reviews Very Positive	Survival Horror Horror
Murdered: Soul Suspect 2014	Est. copies ≈ 976k–1.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.4M–$14.4M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	17k reviews Very Positive	DetectiveAdventure
The Vanishing of Ethan Carter 2014	Est. copies ≈ 503k–818k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	MysteryAtmospheric
Amnesia: The Bunker 2023	Est. copies ≈ 314k–511k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	13k reviews Very Positive	Horror Survival Horror
BIGFOOT 2017	Est. copies ≈ 770k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	22k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessHorror
CONTROL Ultimate Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 3.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $17.7M–$47.7M after Steam's cut $32.2M–$73.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	65k reviews Very Positive	ActionSupernatural