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How many copies did Chernobylite Complete Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 388k–630k
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
from 16k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Chernobylite Complete Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Chernobylite Complete Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11.8M–22.1M
best case 88.0M (Left 4 Dead 2)
Games like Chernobylite Complete Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 11.8M–22.1M copies

≈ $133.3M–$286.9M after Steam's cut

from ~427k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Left 4 Dead 2 at ≈ 67.0M–108.9M copies, ≈ $184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 72k reviews in their first month; the range was 67k to 327k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (6 of 8) and Zombies (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Zombies + Co-op, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Action + FPS + Shooter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Left 4 Dead 2
2009
Est. copies
≈ 67.0M–108.9M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$184.1M–$495.0M after Steam's cut $334.7M–$761.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
1.1M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesCo-op
R.E.P.O.
2025
Est. copies
≈ 10.6M–17.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$29.1M–$78.2M after Steam's cut $52.9M–$120.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
427k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Hunt: Showdown 1896
2019
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$66.3M–$178.3M after Steam's cut $120.6M–$274.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
279k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldExtraction Shooter
Dying Light
2015
Est. copies
≈ 24.2M–39.3M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut $302.5M–$688.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
496k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ZombiesSurvival Horror
7 Days to Die
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
401k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
DayZ
2018
Est. copies
≈ 14.3M–23.2M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut
$49.99
470k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Unturned
2017
Est. copies
≈ 19.4M–31.6M
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
565k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlaySurvival
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$90.1M–$242.1M after Steam's cut $163.7M–$372.5M before Steam's cut
$59.99
220k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldCo-op

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