How much revenue did Choo-Choo Charles make?

$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Choo-Choo Charles sell?

Q: How many copies did Choo-Choo Charles sell?

446k to 726k copies, based on its 18k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 446k–726k; $2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut; from 18k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Choo-Choo Charles and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Choo-Choo Charles's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 11.7M–25.1M

best case 27.3M (The Forest)

Games like Choo-Choo Charles

A typical game among these

≈ 11.7M–25.1M copies

≈ $135.8M–$282.8M after Steam's cut

from ~425k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.8M–33.7M copies, ≈ $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 42k reviews in their first month; the range was 14k to 178k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (7 of 8) and Horror (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Subnautica 2018	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $95.5M–$256.7M after Steam's cut $173.6M–$395.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	381k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Metro Exodus 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M too small to compare SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $27.9M–$74.9M after Steam's cut $50.7M–$115.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	136k reviews Very Positive	Post-apocalypticFPS
DayZ 2018	Est. copies ≈ 14.3M–23.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut	$49.99	470k reviews Mostly Positive	SurvivalOpen World
Sons Of The Forest 2024	Est. copies ≈ 8.0M–12.9M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $65.7M–$176.6M after Steam's cut $119.4M–$271.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	321k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World
The Forest 2018	Est. copies ≈ 20.8M–33.7M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $114.2M–$306.9M after Steam's cut $207.5M–$472.2M before Steam's cut	$19.99	683k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Hunt: Showdown 1896 2019	Est. copies ≈ 8.0M–13.1M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $66.3M–$178.3M after Steam's cut $120.6M–$274.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	279k reviews Mostly Positive	Open WorldExtraction Shooter
Resident Evil Village 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M too small to compare SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	155k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Survival Horror Horror
Dying Light 2015	Est. copies ≈ 24.2M–39.3M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $166.4M–$447.4M after Steam's cut $302.5M–$688.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	496k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesSurvival Horror