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How many copies did Dungeons 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 644k–1.0M
$5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut $9.7M–$22.0M before Steam's cut
from 19k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dungeons 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dungeons 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 288k–454k
best case 2.3M (NBA 2K20)
Games like Dungeons 3

A typical game among these

≈ 288k–454k copies

≈ $1.6M–$5.3M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: NBA 2K20 at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 1k to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Management (5 of 8) and Simulation (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Basketball + Sports.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

KeeperRL
2024
Est. copies
≈ 45k–73k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$247k–$665k after Steam's cut $450k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
UndergroundSimulation
Starship Troopers: Terran Command
2022
Est. copies
≈ 299k–486k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
NBA 2K20
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
7.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
60k reviews
Mixed
BasketballSports
Evil Genius
2009
Est. copies
≈ 228k–371k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$627k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Base-BuildingStrategy
Dungeons 2
2015
Est. copies
≈ 258k–419k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyManagement
War for the Overworld
2015
Est. copies
≈ 397k–645k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Dungeon CrawlerBase-Building
The Tenants
2022
Est. copies
≈ 193k–314k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Mostly Positive
ManagementDesign & Illustration
Evil Genius 2: World Domination
2021
Est. copies
≈ 329k–534k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$15.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
13k reviews
Mixed
StrategyBase-Building

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.