How much revenue did KeeperRL make?

$247k–$665k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did KeeperRL sell?

Q: How many copies did KeeperRL sell?

45k to 73k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 45k–73k; $247k–$665k after Steam's cut $450k–$1.0M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid KeeperRL and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including KeeperRL's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–5.6M

best case 29.7M (Don't Starve Together)

Games like KeeperRL

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–5.6M copies

≈ $4k–$38.6M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Base-Building (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Don't Starve Together at ≈ 22.6M–36.8M copies, ≈ $93.2M–$250.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 79 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 43k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Base-Building (2 of 8) and Exploration (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Open World Survival Craft, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Balatro 2024	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.1M 18x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	200k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card GameRoguelike Deckbuilder
Dome Keeper 2022	Est. copies ≈ 558k–906k 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$17.99	22k reviews Very Positive	SingleplayerPost-apocalyptic
Don't Starve Together 2016	Est. copies ≈ 22.6M–36.8M 48x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $93.2M–$250.7M after Steam's cut $169.5M–$385.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	544k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
DAVE THE DIVER 2023	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.6M 14x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	163k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Pixel GraphicsCasual
Bunker 2020	Est. copies ≈ 645–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $175–$472 after Steam's cut $319–$726 before Steam's cut	$0.99	26 reviews Mixed	Hidden ObjectFirst-Person
Abiko The Miko 2020	Est. copies ≈ 99–161 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $218–$585 after Steam's cut $396–$900 before Steam's cut	$7.99	4 reviews 4 user reviews	Action RoguelikeExploration
Deep Among the Swarm 2024	Est. copies ≈ 3k–6k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $9k–$23k after Steam's cut $16k–$36k before Steam's cut	$8.99	141 reviews Very Positive	RTSBase-Building
The Wratch's Den 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut	$5.99	72 reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyBase-Building