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How many copies did The Wratch's Den sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
from 72 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Wratch's Den and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Wratch's Den's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8k–33k
best case 72k (Sheltered 2)
Games like The Wratch's Den

A typical game among these

≈ 8k–33k copies

≈ $46k–$360k after Steam's cut

from ~502 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Sheltered 2 at ≈ 55k–90k copies, ≈ $303k–$814k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 264 reviews in their first month; the range was 30 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Colony Sim (8 of 8) and Base-Building (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Resource Management, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Edge Islands
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Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$12k–$33k after Steam's cut $23k–$51k before Steam's cut
$17.99
101 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessStrategy
Farlanders
2023
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$61k–$164k after Steam's cut $111k–$253k before Steam's cut
$14.99
598 reviews
Very Positive
City BuilderTurn-Based Strategy
Infested Fortress
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut
$19.99
41 reviews
Positive
StrategyBase-Building
Kingdom's Deck
2025
Est. copies
≈ 13k–22k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$37k–$100k after Steam's cut $67k–$153k before Steam's cut
$9.99
544 reviews
Mostly Positive
City BuilderBase-Building
Thrive: Heavy Lies The Crown
2025
Est. copies
≈ 11k–18k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$88k–$236k after Steam's cut $159k–$362k before Steam's cut
$27.99
459 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessRTS
Rebuild 3: Gangs of Deadsville
2015
Est. copies
≈ 100k–163k
4.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$412k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $750k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Farlanders: Prologue
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
289 reviews
Very Positive
Base-BuildingColony Sim
Sheltered 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 55k–90k
4.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$303k–$814k after Steam's cut $551k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Mixed
SurvivalResource Management

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.