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How many copies did Kingdom's Deck sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 13k–22k
$37k–$100k after Steam's cut $67k–$153k before Steam's cut
from 544 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Kingdom's Deck and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Kingdom's Deck's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14k–171k
best case 1.2M (Against the Storm)
Games like Kingdom's Deck

A typical game among these

≈ 14k–171k copies

≈ $56k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Against the Storm at ≈ 934k–1.5M copies, ≈ $7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 664 reviews in their first month; the range was 79 to 19k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share City Builder (7 of 8) and Base-Building (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with City Builder + Simulation, priced around $30.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.