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How many copies did Terraformers sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 93k–151k
$512k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $931k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Terraformers and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Terraformers's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.2M–3.2M
best case 23.0M (No Man's Sky)
Games like Terraformers

A typical game among these

≈ 2.2M–3.2M copies

≈ $17.1M–$25.2M after Steam's cut

from ~68k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.5M–28.5M copies, ≈ $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 41k reviews in their first month; the range was 35k to 327k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Survival (6 of 8) and Open World Survival Craft (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival, priced around $45.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Core Keeper
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.3M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
68k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsOpen World Survival Craft
Manor Lords
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
93k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
RimWorld
2018
Est. copies
≈ 7.6M–12.3M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut
$34.99
249k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Colony SimBase-Building
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.5M–28.5M
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
422k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
Stranded Deep
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.5M–$17.6M after Steam's cut $11.9M–$27.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
48k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
7 Days to Die
2024
Est. copies
≈ 9.9M–16.2M
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
401k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalZombies
FTL: Faster Than Light
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
79k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSpace
Banished
2014
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.3M–$35.9M after Steam's cut $24.3M–$55.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
43k reviews
Very Positive

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