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How many copies did Core Keeper sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
$9.3M–$24.9M after Steam's cut $16.9M–$38.4M before Steam's cut
from 68k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Core Keeper and predicted how it would do from its 3 similar games. Every figure here, including Core Keeper's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.7M–10.4M
best case 18.3M (Valheim)
Games like Core Keeper

A typical game among these

≈ 1.7M–10.4M copies

≈ $14.1M–$117.2M after Steam's cut

from ~75k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 3 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Valheim at ≈ 13.9M–22.6M copies, ≈ $114.9M–$308.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 32k reviews in their first month; the range was 22k to 558k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Open World (3 of 3) and Open World Survival Craft (3 of 3).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $30.
When they shipped
3 of the 3 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Valheim
2026
Est. copies
≈ 13.9M–22.6M
7.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.9M–$308.9M after Steam's cut $208.9M–$475.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
562k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Necesse
2025
Est. copies
≈ 727k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftMultiplayer
The Planet Crafter
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.6M before Steam's cut
$23.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftBase-Building

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.