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How many copies did Warlords Under Siege sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 12k–19k
$33k–$88k after Steam's cut $60k–$136k before Steam's cut
from 482 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Warlords Under Siege and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Warlords Under Siege's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 882k–1.2M
best case 1.3M (Company of Heroes 3)
Games like Warlords Under Siege

A typical game among these

≈ 882k–1.2M copies

≈ $10.4M–$23.7M after Steam's cut

from ~30k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Company of Heroes 3 at ≈ 1.0M–1.6M copies, ≈ $16.5M–$44.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 13k reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Wargame (6 of 8) and Action RTS (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Wargame + RTS, priced around $60.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.