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How many copies did Conqueror's Blade sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 859k–1.4M
from 30k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Conqueror's Blade and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Conqueror's Blade's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 550k–1.9M
best case 2.4M (Total War: ATTILA)
Games like Conqueror's Blade

A typical game among these

≈ 550k–1.9M copies

≈ $4.7M–$16.1M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Total War: ATTILA at ≈ 1.8M–3.0M copies, ≈ $10.1M–$27.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share RTS (6 of 8) and War (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Historical + War, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Stronghold Crusader HD (2012)
2013
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.9M after Steam's cut $6.7M–$15.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
21k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MilitaryCity Builder
Ancestors Legacy
2018
Est. copies
≈ 263k–428k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.5M before Steam's cut
$34.99
9k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyMedieval
Age of History 3
2024
Est. copies
≈ 468k–761k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
WargameStrategy
Battle Brothers
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.3M–$22.2M after Steam's cut $15.0M–$34.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRPG
Total War: ATTILA
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.3M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
A Total War Saga: THRONES OF BRITANNIA
2018
Est. copies
≈ 453k–737k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyHistorical
Total War: MEDIEVAL II – Definitive Edition
2006
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.1M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyMedieval
Diplomacy is Not an Option
2024
Est. copies
≈ 315k–512k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
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