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How many copies did A Total War Saga: THRONES OF BRITANNIA sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 453k–737k
$2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before Steam's cut
from 15k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid A Total War Saga: THRONES OF BRITANNIA and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including A Total War Saga: THRONES OF BRITANNIA's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.8M–9.0M
best case 19.8M (Hearts of Iron IV)
Games like A Total War Saga: THRONES OF BRITANNIA

A typical game among these

≈ 5.8M–9.0M copies

≈ $67.6M–$92.5M after Steam's cut

from ~134k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hearts of Iron IV at ≈ 15.1M–24.6M copies, ≈ $207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Historical (7 of 8) and Grand Strategy (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with World War II + Grand Strategy, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Alternate History + World War II + Grand Strategy; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Age of Empires II (Retired)
2013
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$35.7M–$96.1M after Steam's cut $65.0M–$147.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
103k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyRTS
Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$50.7M–$136.2M after Steam's cut $92.1M–$209.6M before Steam's cut
$34.99
183k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Crusader Kings III
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut $88.4M–$201.1M before Steam's cut
$49.99
143k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyMedieval
Hearts of Iron IV
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.1M–24.6M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut $377.6M–$859.1M before Steam's cut
$49.99
363k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyWorld War II
Europa Universalis IV
2013
Est. copies
≈ 8.5M–13.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$116.6M–$313.5M after Steam's cut $212.0M–$482.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
134k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy
Company of Heroes 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 7.2M–11.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$39.4M–$105.8M after Steam's cut $71.6M–$162.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
113k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyWorld War II
Heroes & Generals
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
142k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayWorld War II
Total War: THREE KINGDOMS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$29.7M–$79.9M after Steam's cut $54.0M–$123.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
94k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical

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