How much revenue did Total War: THREE KINGDOMS make?

$29.7M–$79.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Total War: THREE KINGDOMS sell?

Q: How many copies did Total War: THREE KINGDOMS sell?

2.7M to 4.4M copies, based on its 94k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2.7M–4.4M; $29.7M–$79.9M after Steam's cut $54.0M–$123.0M before Steam's cut; from 94k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Total War: THREE KINGDOMS and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Total War: THREE KINGDOMS's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.8M–5.5M

best case 65.2M (War Thunder)

Games like Total War: THREE KINGDOMS

A typical game among these

≈ 4.8M–5.5M copies

≈ $64.2M–$91.9M after Steam's cut

from ~152k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.7M–80.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 51k reviews in their first month; the range was 22k to 200k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share War (5 of 8) and Grand Strategy (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with World War II + Grand Strategy, priced around $50.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
World of Warships 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5.4M–8.8M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	157k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayNaval Combat
Hell Let Loose 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $51.1M–$137.3M after Steam's cut $92.9M–$211.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	150k reviews Very Positive	ShooterRealistic
Hearts of Iron IV 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.1M–24.6M 2.4x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $207.7M–$558.4M after Steam's cut $377.6M–$859.1M before Steam's cut	$49.99	363k reviews Very Positive	StrategyWorld War II
Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord 2022	Est. copies ≈ 7.4M–12.0M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $101.7M–$273.3M after Steam's cut $184.8M–$420.5M before Steam's cut	$49.99	298k reviews Very Positive	MedievalStrategy
War Thunder 2013	Est. copies ≈ 49.7M–80.7M 5.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	786k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlaySimulation
Crusader Kings III 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut $88.4M–$201.1M before Steam's cut	$49.99	143k reviews Very Positive	StrategyMedieval
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.0M–$56.6M after Steam's cut $38.3M–$87.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	154k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxSimulation
Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.8M–25.7M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $260.5M–$700.4M after Steam's cut $473.7M–$1077.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	380k reviews Very Positive	StrategyTurn-Based Strategy