How much revenue did Totally Accurate Battle Simulator make?

$21.0M–$56.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Totally Accurate Battle Simulator sell?

Q: How many copies did Totally Accurate Battle Simulator sell?

3.8M to 6.2M copies, based on its 154k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3.8M–6.2M; $21.0M–$56.6M after Steam's cut $38.3M–$87.1M before Steam's cut; from 154k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Totally Accurate Battle Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Totally Accurate Battle Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12.2M–24.9M

best case 105.1M (Garry's Mod)

Games like Totally Accurate Battle Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 12.2M–24.9M copies

≈ $95.8M–$216.2M after Steam's cut

from ~306k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Garry's Mod at ≈ 80.0M–130.1M copies, ≈ $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Sandbox (5 of 8) and Physics (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with First-Person, priced around $7. The breakout hits carry First-Person + Mature + Utilities; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 31.0M–50.3M 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.5M–$114.3M after Steam's cut $77.3M–$175.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
Human Fall Flat 2016	Est. copies ≈ 9.5M–15.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $52.0M–$139.7M after Steam's cut $94.5M–$214.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	227k reviews Very Positive	Co-opFunny
Garry's Mod 2006	Est. copies ≈ 80.0M–130.1M 4.1x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.3M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxModdable
VRChat 2017	Est. copies ≈ 9.3M–15.1M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	269k reviews Mostly Positive	VRFree to Play
BeamNG.drive 2015	Est. copies ≈ 20.5M–33.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	421k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationDriving
People Playground 2019	Est. copies ≈ 9.2M–15.0M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	321k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxGore
Don't Starve Together 2016	Est. copies ≈ 22.6M–36.8M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $93.2M–$250.7M after Steam's cut $169.5M–$385.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	544k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Cities: Skylines 2015	Est. copies ≈ 14.2M–23.1M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	291k reviews Very Positive	City Builder Simulation