How much revenue did Total War: MEDIEVAL II – Definitive Edition make?

$12.7M–$34.1M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Total War: MEDIEVAL II – Definitive Edition sell?

Q: How many copies did Total War: MEDIEVAL II – Definitive Edition sell?

2.3M to 3.8M copies, based on its 37k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2.3M–3.8M; $12.7M–$34.1M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.5M before Steam's cut; from 37k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Total War: MEDIEVAL II – Definitive Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Total War: MEDIEVAL II – Definitive Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.0M–11.1M

best case 9.7M (Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord)

Games like Total War: MEDIEVAL II – Definitive Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 5.0M–11.1M copies

≈ $89.7M–$110.4M after Steam's cut

from ~154k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord at ≈ 7.4M–12.0M copies, ≈ $101.7M–$273.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 38k reviews in their first month; the range was 19k to 200k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Medieval (6 of 8) and Historical (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Medieval + Open World, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Open World + War + RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Mount & Blade: Warband 2010	Est. copies ≈ 10.9M–17.7M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $59.8M–$160.9M after Steam's cut $108.8M–$247.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	172k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MedievalRPG
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.0M–$56.6M after Steam's cut $38.3M–$87.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	154k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxSimulation
Crusader Kings III 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut $88.4M–$201.1M before Steam's cut	$49.99	143k reviews Very Positive	StrategyMedieval
Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5.3M–8.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $50.7M–$136.2M after Steam's cut $92.1M–$209.6M before Steam's cut	$34.99	183k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS
Age of Empires II (Retired) 2013	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.6M too small to compare SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $35.7M–$96.1M after Steam's cut $65.0M–$147.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	103k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StrategyRTS
Mount & Blade II: Bannerlord 2022	Est. copies ≈ 7.4M–12.0M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $101.7M–$273.3M after Steam's cut $184.8M–$420.5M before Steam's cut	$49.99	298k reviews Very Positive	MedievalStrategy
Age of Empires IV: Anniversary Edition 2021	Est. copies ≈ 2.4M–3.9M too small to compare SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $26.1M–$70.3M after Steam's cut $47.5M–$108.1M before Steam's cut	$39.99	96k reviews Very Positive	StrategyRTS
Europa Universalis IV 2013	Est. copies ≈ 8.5M–13.8M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $116.6M–$313.5M after Steam's cut $212.0M–$482.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	134k reviews Very Positive	Grand StrategyStrategy