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How many copies did Total War: ATTILA sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
$10.1M–$27.3M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.9M before Steam's cut
from 38k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Total War: ATTILA and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Total War: ATTILA's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.2M–4.5M
best case 20.7M (Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI)
Games like Total War: ATTILA

A typical game among these

≈ 2.2M–4.5M copies

≈ $20.6M–$69.9M after Steam's cut

from ~44k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI at ≈ 15.8M–25.7M copies, ≈ $260.5M–$700.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Grand Strategy (8 of 8) and Historical (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Strategy + Historical, priced around $60.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2019, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Sid Meier’s Civilization® VI
2016
Est. copies
≈ 15.8M–25.7M
8.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$260.5M–$700.4M after Steam's cut $473.7M–$1077.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
380k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Rome: Total War™ - Collection
2007
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
17k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Age of History II
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before Steam's cut
$5.99
50k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Total War: NAPOLEON – Definitive Edition
2010
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.6M–$25.9M after Steam's cut $17.5M–$39.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Total War: THREE KINGDOMS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$29.7M–$79.9M after Steam's cut $54.0M–$123.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
94k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Total War: EMPIRE – Definitive Edition
2009
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.3M–$35.6M after Steam's cut $24.1M–$54.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Total War: MEDIEVAL II – Definitive Edition
2006
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.1M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyMedieval
Total War: ROME II - Emperor Edition
2013
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.1M–$124.0M after Steam's cut $83.8M–$190.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
88k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical

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