How much revenue did Age of History 3 make?

$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Age of History 3 sell?

Q: How many copies did Age of History 3 sell?

468k to 761k copies, based on its 19k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 468k–761k; $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before Steam's cut; from 19k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Age of History 3 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Age of History 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 472k–939k

best case 11.1M (Europa Universalis IV)

Games like Age of History 3

A typical game among these

≈ 472k–939k copies

≈ $5.3M–$11.3M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Simulation (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Europa Universalis IV at ≈ 8.5M–13.8M copies, ≈ $116.6M–$313.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 967 to 5k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (4 of 8) and 4X (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Grand Strategy + Historical, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Historical + Alternate History + Wargame; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Sins of a Solar Empire®: Rebellion 2012	Est. copies ≈ 1.0M–1.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.7M–$15.3M after Steam's cut $10.3M–$23.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	16k reviews Very Positive	ManagementDiplomacy
Total War: ROME REMASTERED 2021	Est. copies ≈ 342k–556k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	14k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyGrand Strategy
Warhammer 40,000: Gladius - Relics of War 2018	Est. copies ≈ 572k–929k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.3M–$16.9M after Steam's cut $11.4M–$26.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	19k reviews Very Positive	StrategyWarhammer 40K
Easy Red 2 2022	Est. copies ≈ 377k–612k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $932k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut	$8.99	15k reviews Very Positive	World War IIAction
ROMANCE OF THE THREE KINGDOMS XIV 2020	Est. copies ≈ 404k–656k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.7M–$17.9M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	16k reviews Mixed	Turn-Based TacticsWargame
Steel Division 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 277k–449k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	10k reviews Mostly Positive	StrategyRTS
Conqueror's Blade 2019	Est. copies ≈ 859k–1.4M 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	30k reviews Mostly Positive	MedievalTactical
Europa Universalis IV 2013	Est. copies ≈ 8.5M–13.8M 8.2x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $116.6M–$313.5M after Steam's cut $212.0M–$482.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	134k reviews Very Positive	Grand StrategyStrategy