How much revenue did Edge Islands make?

$12k–$33k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Edge Islands sell?

Q: How many copies did Edge Islands sell?

3k to 4k copies, based on its 101 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–4k; $12k–$33k after Steam's cut $23k–$51k before Steam's cut; from 101 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Edge Islands and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Edge Islands's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–5.1M

best case 9.9M (RimWorld)

Games like Edge Islands

A typical game among these

≈ 1.4M–5.1M copies

≈ $17.2M–$54.9M after Steam's cut

from ~64k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: RimWorld at ≈ 7.6M–12.3M copies, ≈ $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Base-Building (7 of 8) and Colony Sim (7 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Colony Sim + Base-Building, priced around $35.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
RimWorld 2018	Est. copies ≈ 7.6M–12.3M 3.9x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $72.7M–$195.4M after Steam's cut $132.2M–$300.7M before Steam's cut	$34.99	249k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building
Oxygen Not Included 2019	Est. copies ≈ 4.1M–6.7M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut $51.9M–$118.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	144k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Colony SimBase-Building
Kingdoms and Castles 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $6.0M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	32k reviews Very Positive	City Builder Colony Sim
Dwarf Fortress 2022	Est. copies ≈ 783k–1.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.5M–$17.4M after Steam's cut $11.7M–$26.7M before Steam's cut	$29.99	32k reviews Very Positive	DwarfColony Sim
They Are Billions 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	52k reviews Very Positive	Base-BuildingColony Sim
Surviving Mars 2018	Est. copies ≈ 889k–1.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	29k reviews Mostly Positive	Colony Sim City Builder
Prison Architect 2015	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $31.0M–$83.3M after Steam's cut $56.3M–$128.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	77k reviews Very Positive	SimulationBuilding
Cult of the Lamb 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.2M–5.2M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $22.2M–$59.6M after Steam's cut $40.3M–$91.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	130k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Base-BuildingCute