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How many copies did Dwarf Fortress sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 783k–1.3M
$6.5M–$17.4M after Steam's cut $11.7M–$26.7M before Steam's cut
from 32k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dwarf Fortress and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dwarf Fortress's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 42k–114k
best case 1.3M (Craft The World)
Games like Dwarf Fortress

A typical game among these

≈ 42k–114k copies

≈ $289k–$663k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Craft The World at ≈ 961k–1.6M copies, ≈ $5.0M–$13.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 435 reviews in their first month; the range was 163 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Colony Sim (5 of 8) and Dwarf (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dwarf + Colony Sim, priced around $19.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Craft The World
2014
Est. copies
≈ 961k–1.6M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.5M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.8M before Steam's cut
$18.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
DwarfColony Sim
Diggles: The Myth of Fenris
2020
Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$45k–$120k after Steam's cut $81k–$185k before Steam's cut
$9.99
656 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyAdventure
Mountaincore
2025
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
268 reviews
Mixed
StrategySimulation
Noble Fates
2021
Est. copies
≈ 37k–60k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$253k–$681k after Steam's cut $460k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessColony Sim
Regions Of Ruin
2018
Est. copies
≈ 141k–230k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$466k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $848k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$11.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAdventure
Dwarfs!?
2011
Est. copies
≈ 68k–111k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$188k–$505k after Steam's cut $341k–$776k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
DwarfColony Sim
Gnomes
2025
Est. copies
≈ 46k–74k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$126k–$338k after Steam's cut $229k–$520k before Steam's cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseTurn-Based
KeeperRL
2024
Est. copies
≈ 45k–73k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$247k–$665k after Steam's cut $450k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
UndergroundSimulation

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.