How much revenue did Oxygen Not Included make?

$28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Oxygen Not Included sell?

Q: How many copies did Oxygen Not Included sell?

4.1M to 6.7M copies, based on its 144k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 4.1M–6.7M; $28.5M–$76.7M after Steam's cut $51.9M–$118.0M before Steam's cut; from 144k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Oxygen Not Included and predicted how it would do from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Oxygen Not Included's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–3.6M

best case 5.5M (Frostpunk)

Games like Oxygen Not Included

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–3.6M copies

≈ $23.0M–$51.0M after Steam's cut

from ~73k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 4 of the similar games are hits.

This comes from a small set of games, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Frostpunk at ≈ 4.2M–6.8M copies, ≈ $34.5M–$92.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share City Builder (3 of 4) and Survival (3 of 4).
The winners: Winners here lead with City Builder + Survival, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 4 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Frostpunk 2018	Est. copies ≈ 4.2M–6.8M 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $34.5M–$92.8M after Steam's cut $62.8M–$142.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	138k reviews Very Positive	City Builder Survival
Manor Lords 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $25.3M–$68.1M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.8M before Steam's cut	$39.99	93k reviews Very Positive	StrategyCity Builder
They Are Billions 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	52k reviews Very Positive	Base-BuildingColony Sim
Medieval Dynasty 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.8M before Steam's cut	$34.99	52k reviews Very Positive	CraftingBuilding