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How many copies did Sheltered 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 55k–90k
$303k–$814k after Steam's cut $551k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sheltered 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sheltered 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 471k–2.8M
best case 5.5M (Frostpunk)
Games like Sheltered 2

A typical game among these

≈ 471k–2.8M copies

≈ $3.2M–$30.8M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Frostpunk at ≈ 4.2M–6.8M copies, ≈ $34.5M–$92.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 13k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Survival (8 of 8) and City Builder (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with City Builder + Survival, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Final Station
2016
Est. copies
≈ 396k–643k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsPost-apocalyptic
This War of Mine
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.1M–$81.0M after Steam's cut $54.8M–$124.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
98k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalWar
Frostpunk
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
6.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$34.5M–$92.8M after Steam's cut $62.8M–$142.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
138k reviews
Very Positive
IXION
2022
Est. copies
≈ 443k–719k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut
$34.99
18k reviews
Mostly Positive
SpaceCity Builder
They Are Billions
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.2M–$50.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
52k reviews
Very Positive
Base-BuildingColony Sim
Frostpunk 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 674k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$8.3M–$22.4M after Steam's cut $15.2M–$34.5M before Steam's cut
$44.99
27k reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyCity Builder
The Wandering Village
2025
Est. copies
≈ 211k–342k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.7M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessBuilding
Endzone - A World Apart
2021
Est. copies
≈ 249k–405k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.6M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.1M before Steam's cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Mostly Positive

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