How much revenue did A Plague Tale: Innocence make?

$22.8M–$61.4M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did A Plague Tale: Innocence sell?

Q: How many copies did A Plague Tale: Innocence sell?

2.1M to 3.4M copies, based on its 72k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2.1M–3.4M; $22.8M–$61.4M after Steam's cut $41.5M–$94.4M before the cut; from 72k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left A Plague Tale: Innocence out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including A Plague Tale: Innocence's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8.3M–23.7M

best case 27.9M (Baldur's Gate 3)

Games like A Plague Tale: Innocence

The middle of these games

≈ 8.3M–23.7M copies

≈ $173.8M–$313.0M after Steam's cut

from ~313k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Baldur's Gate 3 at ≈ 21.2M–34.5M copies, ≈ $350.1M–$941.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Open World (5 of 8) and Third Person (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Character Customization + Choices Matter, priced around $60.
The era: The games you compared span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Baldur's Gate 3 2023	Est. copies ≈ 21.2M–34.5M 2.7x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $350.1M–$941.4M after Steam's cut $636.6M–$1448.3M before the cut	$59.99	856k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	RPGCharacter Customization
Assassin's Creed® Odyssey 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.7M–9.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $94.4M–$253.9M after Steam's cut $171.7M–$390.6M before the cut	$59.99	188k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
The Elder Scrolls V: Skyrim Special Edition 2016	Est. copies ≈ 15.6M–25.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $172.0M–$462.5M after Steam's cut $312.8M–$711.6M before the cut	$39.99	376k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldRPG
Sekiro™: Shadows Die Twice - GOTY Edition 2019	Est. copies ≈ 10.2M–16.6M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $168.9M–$454.2M after Steam's cut $307.2M–$698.8M before the cut	$59.99	356k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Souls-likeDifficult
Tomb Raider Game of the Year 2013	Est. copies ≈ 17.0M–27.7M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $93.7M–$251.9M after Steam's cut $170.4M–$387.6M before the cut	$19.99	270k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureAction
Dying Light 2015	Est. copies ≈ 24.2M–39.2M 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $166.0M–$446.3M after Steam's cut $301.8M–$686.6M before the cut	$24.99	495k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ZombiesSurvival Horror
Far Cry® 5 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.7M–9.3M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $94.7M–$254.7M after Steam's cut $172.3M–$391.9M before the cut	$59.99	189k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldAction-Adventure
Rise of the Tomb Raider™ 2016	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $53.4M–$143.5M after Steam's cut $97.1M–$220.8M before the cut	$29.99	156k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAction